Tuesday, October 23, 2012

The Last Debate and those Clueless Undecideds!!

Pathetic Undecided Fence-Sitters!
To my Conservative Friends:

The 3rd debate was pretty boring as it only had a few memorable moments but Romney more than held his own and had a few good shots.  The debate will not move the needle at all as that was set after the first debate which was a Romney knockout. 

The Governor will probably go into election day with a slight lead (1-3 points) and he will improve on that in the actual election to the 5 point win I have predicted all along...

I, for one will be thankful these debates are over!!! I have had it with the pandering to the ohhh, soo wishy washey John and Jane Undecided voter with their uniformed comments and their dials they turn when they hear some get-along crap that sounds so nice-e-nice!!!


Typical Undecided Voter
I mean c'mon people if you are undecided at this point you have your head up your ass...

These two candidates are diametrically opposed on just about every issue there is. So how can any person who is remotely paying attention at all be undecided at this point? 

Either you are for the individual or the state. You are for limited government and self-responsibility or you are for the nanny state Ala western-Europe/Greece. You can't be both. You are either one or the other.

So for these people to claim they are undecided after watching Mao-bama for 4 years and watching the pro-business Romney are either just plain dumb or they just like the attention of the media and candidates who fawn over them like Manhattan libs treat their kids...

And the networks love to put these undecideds in a room to watch these debates and gauge their reactions.  The uber lib-hacks at CBS, Sarah O'Donnell and Charlie Rose reacted to a group of undecided Ohio voters who saw things a little differently than the hacks in the lame-stream media.  Check it out here, it is priceless:


They both looked like their puppy just died.  I mean these people are so blinded by their love for their Messiah than they can not comprehend why everyone just doesn't fall to their knees at the site of Obummer's idiot-prompter!!

Ya see the lib-hacks in the media aren't even trying to even appear to not be rooting for their chosen one this time around.  They are so invested emotionally and professionally in this guy that they never take a minute to ask the question - "Has this Presidency been an utter failure???".

They have given up all journalistic ethics and have basically said, "we don't give a rat's ass, we are libs and we don't care who knows it!".

Oh how great it will be two weeks from now watching them try to rationalize how their liberal world has just come crumbling down around them as America hits the eject button on the social experiment that was Barry Hussein Obama!!!

Just my thoughts...

GOP Mike



 

Monday, October 22, 2012

2 Weeks out - Polling Update & Predictions

To my Conservative Friends:

Unlike 4 years ago when I was the one bringing you the sorry news that we needed a miracle to avoid the election of the biggest empty suit that has ever sat in the oval office (see the 2008 article here), I come bearing gifts and good news!!!

I have been saying for over a year now that Romney will beat the Messiah by 5 points (52-47) and carry a comfortable electoral majority in the range of 279-308.  In fact, this is the way I see the electoral college breaking down on election night:






Why do I predict this??  Well, I am a numbers guy and I analyze polls as much as Dick Morris.  I analyse their methodology, their party breakdown and everything in between.  If you remember at this time 4 years ago, this is the way it looked from a polling perspective with 2 weeks to go in 2008 and today:

October 21, 2008 - 2 weeks till 2008 Election:
 
Obama 49.9%
McCain 42.9%
Obama's Lead = 7.0%
 
Today - October 22, 2012 - 2 weeks till 2012 Election
 
Romney 47.4%
Obama 46.6%
Romney's Lead  .7%
 
Oh how times have changed!!!  The polls today are more precise, more detailed and the polling companies have really got this thing down to a science.  The two main polls that I have followed in the past and I continue to trust the most are the daily tracking polls - Rasmussen and Gallup.
 
As I have said numerous times in the past, polling companies that do daily tracking are more accurate and are better pollsters that the companies that do sporadic, one-off polls every week or so.
 
This is merely because if you do something everyday, you are going to be better at it than if you do it every few weeks.  So Rasmussen and Gallup are the ones to follow.  They have proven to be the most accurate and they are the ones to be trusted the most.  Case in point Rasmussen had it right on the money in 2008 predicting a 6 point Obama win (he won by 5.5) and Gallup had Obama winning by 10.  So Rasmussen was the most accurate (as they were in 2010) and Gallup had the winner as well...
 
As of today, here is how Rasmussen and Gallup see it shaking down:
 
As of October 22, 2012 (2 weeks till election):
 
Rasmussen - Romney leads by 2
Gallup - Romney leads by 7
 
So what has happened in the past 4 years that has really changed the game for this election.  It is a lot of factors, but the biggest ones are:
 
  • Romney is a drastically better candidate than McCain
  • Paul Ryan is a better, more experienced and smarter VP candidate than Sarah Palin.
  • Obama has lost a ton of support.  I think he has lost most of his support from white men &  married women who decided to give him a "chance" with the mindset of "Hope and Change" last time but have smartened up this time.
  • Let's face it, Obama has been an utter failure for the most important issue - The economy!!
    • 23 Million people still unemployed
    • 47 million on food stamps (up from 32 million in 2008)
    • Housing crisis still a mess
    • Gas prices have doubled in the past 4 years
    • Need I go on???
  • Obama's foreign policy is unraveling before our eyes - the strategy of "get them to like us" has proven to be a failure...
  • Romney has a plan and Obama is offering nothing more than stay the course as I drive us into the iceburg, hit reverse and back into it just in case I didn't rip the hull to shreds!
  • The country was historic by electing the first black President and overlooked his lack of knowledge and experience and decided to give him a shot - not again (fool me once...)...
So, my prediction for the past year remains.  I believe Romney has a lead of between 2 and 7 points and has all the momentum going his way. 
 
The country has had it with Obama.  They have had it with the class-warfare, the lying, the apologizing, the blaming anyone other than himself.  And most importantly, they have had it with the dismal results...  Romney had it right when he said to the guy in the second debate - "We don't have to settle for this!!!"   And we wont!!!
 
Romney will win comfortably and we can finally get an adult in the white house so we can start getting this budget under control, stimulate the private sector and get on track for a real recovery!!!
 
I for one can't wait for it!!!
 
Just my thoughts...
 
GOP Mike

Ideology aside, why Romney Must Win!!

To all my Conservative Friends:

I know my liberal friends (I have a few...) will read this post as just Mike being Mike and rooting for his team.  However, I have taken a real objective look at what will happen to the country if Obama is reelected.

Here is how I see it from a business owner, a citizen, a husband, a father and an American, no BS whatsoever here!!!

If Barry gets Reelected:

There is no doubt that the business community has no love for this President.  Business leaders from across all industries have openly said that they have been hesitant to hire, reluctant to spend and have an overall fear of this administrations policies, statements and attitude towards the business community. 
 
Who could ever forget Barry's speech where he went off-prompter and we saw a glimpse into his socialist mind about what he really thinks of business owners is this country.
 
 
Ok, all that aside, what will actually happen to health care, taxes, the real estate market and the overall economy is Barry is able to hood-wink 50% +1 of the country and cobble together 271 electoral votes to win reelection.
 
Overall, the economy will struggle mightily if Barry gets reelected.  Here is just a list of things that will happen if the unthinkable happens:
 

Taxes

Barry will let taxes go up for everyone as he will let all the Bush tax rates expire and tax rates will go up for all tax brackets.  There will be no deal to raise only rates rates only on the rich since the GOP will control the house and increase their numbers on the Senate side and they will not allow it. 


So Barry will let the rates go up for everyone which is WHAT HIS GOAL WAS ALL ALONG!!
 
Effect on the Country - This will have a devastating impact on the economy as there will be much less disposable income for all Americans and businesses will have to trim down costs (payrolls) due to the sluggish consumer spending. 
 
Unemployment will rise to the 10% range again and this weak-ass recovery we have been seeing will come to a grinding halt as GDP will approach negative terrain. 
 
Barry won't care that this will shove the nation into recession as long as it enables him to implement his socialist agenda and transform the country into a western-european socialist haven.

    Obamacare 

This stellar legislation will be fully implemented as there will be nobody to stop it.  The SCOTUS abdicated it's responsibility on the unconstitutionality of the onerous legalisation and the newly reelected Obama will view this as full steam ahead to shove this widely unpopular bill down the throats of businesses across the country.



Effect on the Country - No fair-minded person I have ever spoken to (liberals included) have ever believed that by adding millions of people to the health care rolls and offering free health care will reduce costs. 

So health care costs will go up and go up pretty dramatically.  Yes, more people will be covered and preexisting conditions will be protected and kiddies can loaf in mommy's basement and stay on their plans till 26, however, someone has to pay for all this and it ain't gonna be the insurance companies. 

So premiums will go up as businesses in droves will drop health care coverages for its employees dumping millions into Obamacare!!!  Socialism LIVES!!

Real Estate Market

The market feeds on the economy and jobs.  And based on the above, those are going to suffer drastically under Obama II - The Sequel (Finishing the "Job")... 

So the real estate market will not flourish but will tank again under a second term from Barry...

Effect on the Country - So the real estate market will suffer another downturn as prices will crash another 10-20% and buyers will find it easier finding a pro-business liberal than finding a bank to give them a mortgage. 

Banks will tighten the noose on their underwriting guidelines so they don't suffer any write downs on bad loans as they are gonna need all the cash they can hoard to weather the storm that is Barry's second term!!!

Oil/Gas Prices

Despite the line that Barry tried to pull in the last debate - His policies have been devastating to the oil industry as he has reduced drilling permits to pander to the environmental wacko crowd. 

He loves and truly believes in the farce of green energy even though we are probably 10-20 years away from using it in the real economy.  Barry will continue to hump the green crap to the detriment of the oil/gas industry.

Effect on the Country - Gas prices will go up to the $5-6/gallon range and this will devastate the middle/low income Americans.  The green energy farce will continue as Barry and his minions will keep humping this dead-end instead of letting the private sector do it.

Barry and his socialists will say they are "investing" in the future.  Hopefully there will be a future after he destroys what is left of this once great country!!!

Summary of a Obama Second Term

Higher taxes for all, increased health care costs for every family, the real estate market suffering another crash, gas prices at an all-time high, the national debt speeding to over $20 Trillion and an overall malaise and depression (economic and emotional)  gripping the country with no end or solution in sight.


It is not a pretty picture but is the most accurate assessment you will find.  It is not based on speculation or ideology.  But rather just a continuation of his current policies that we have seen implemented to some extent or another over the past 4 years.

It is not a future that any American wants.  But if we don't work hard the next 2 weeks to make sure Mitt Romney gets elected, it could very well be our future.

If Mitt Romney wins the Presidency

Since we don't have a track record for Romney, we can't really know what he will do unlike Obama where we just projected 4 more years of his current policies over the next 4 years.  However, we know from his campaign, the debates and his plan on his website that he will:
  • Reduce taxes across the board = Economic stimulant
  • Repeal Obamacare  = Economic stimulant
  • Increase oil drilling = Economic stimulant
  • Implement smart tax reform = Economic stimulant
Now the specifics are not there so it is impossible to know the exact effect these changes will have on our economy, but I would venture to say that a successful businessman that has a proven track record of turning struggling entities around with a plan that includes a bunch a pro-growth, pro-business strategies is virtually assured to have a better impact on our economy than a liberal re-distributionist that has no record of success and 4 years of documented failure...

One of my favorite bumper sticker remains - In 2008 the country proved we weren't racists, in 2012, we have to prove we are not idiots!

Vote smart in 15 days my friends!!

Just my thoughts...

GOP Mike 

Friday, October 12, 2012

Joe Biden - The Ultimate Political Hack!!


The Definition of a Hack!!
To my Conservative Friends:

After watching the VP debate last night, I have come to one incontrovertible fact - Joe Biden is the most shameless, opportunistic political hack of our lifetime!!

The man has no soul.  He will say anything and has absolute no respect for the office he holds and seeks.  Aside from the points Paul Ryan made or didn't make, the debate was unwatchable even for the most ardent political observers!!

The interruptions, the laughing, the smiling with those god awful dentures was as maddening as watching one of my daughter's soccer games!!!  You just want to stand up and scream!!!


Biden is a Clown
Now, I think Ryan missed many points to nail Hack-O-Joe to the wall, most specifically the lying about them not knowing anything about Benghazi.  However, I don't want to get bogged down in the weeds because I think for the election impact, this debate will have little to none.  But what will have an impact is that this debate will just make us conservatives fire-cracker mad at the absolute elitist contempt these lib-tards have for conservative ideas.

Biden was so arrogant and rude that any point Ryan made, he scoffed, smirked and outright laughed off as preposterous!!  Ryan could have said that he loves Obamacare and Joey-Plugs would have said  "My friend is crazy"!!  The man is incapable of an intelligent, rationale conversation about the dangerous issues this country faces.


And the "my friend" line was the most patronizing, demeaning line of the night and he repeated it about 30 times.  Ryan is not his friend.  Doesn't want to be his friend.  And leftists abhor any conservatives and Nut-case Joe showed it throughout the 90 minutes.  Here is a great video the RNC just put out.

 
Paul Ryan tried to be the adult in the room, but was prohibited by the 70 year old hack with the bad dentures.  The "debate" turned into a Jerry Springer type "talk-over" fest that just demeaned the office of the Vice-President. 
 
I asked the people in my office this morning - "Who could vote for these hacks?  Who could vote for a party and an ideology that so blatantly panders to the lowest common denominator in our society".  Just as I asked this question, some lady whom I've never met pops her head over her cubicle and says, "I vote for them because they have always given stuff to me".
 
Aaaaahhh, so there it is!!!  A lib finally admitted that the only reason people vote for this bankrupt party and their vapid ideology is because they give her free shit.  If only all lib-tards could be as honest, we would be better off. 
 
Instead, we have to sit and watch hacks like Joe Biden and Barry Hussein Obama pretend that they believe that their policies actually work despite overwhelming evidence that they have failed everywhere they have been tried and they have failed this country miserably over the past 4 years!!
 
So, the debate will be remembered not for addressing the grave concerns that we face, but for some old, washed up political hack pandering to every group he can think of and acting like an absolute ass-clown.    This guy will soon be looking for work and I think I know just the right one..
 
 
 
Just my thoughts...
 
GOP Mike